Anticipated decline in Russian tourists to Antalya in 2026
The Turkish holiday favourite of Antalya is expected to welcome approximately 3.9 million Russian tourists by the end of 2026.
This figure represents a slight decrease of between 100,000 and 150,000 visitors compared to the preceding year, 2025.
The forecast was published on 14 August 2026 and provides an important indicator of future demand in one of Turkey' s most popular destinations.
Antalya serves as a key destination for travellers from Russia, and fluctuations in visitor numbers from this market have a significant impact on the local tourism industry.
Although the decline is relatively small, it offers insight into tourism dynamics and how they might affect the travel experience for visitors, whether you are a Nordic tourist, a foreign resident, or someone currently planning a holiday. For tourists planning a trip to Antalya, changes in visitor numbers from a major market like Russia can have indirect effects.
A moderate decline could potentially lead to slightly less congestion at popular sites and attractions, and might also influence pricing levels for hotels, excursions, and other tourism services.
Despite the decrease, 3.9 million Russian tourists will still constitute a significant volume, underscoring Antalya' s position as a globally recognised holiday destination.
Travellers from the UK and other countries should note that general travel conditions and accessibility in Antalya remain largely unchanged.
However, it is always wise to monitor local conditions and booking trends to secure the best prices and experiences, especially during the high season.
Forecasts like this are valuable for understanding the market and planning trips efficiently. Such forecasts are crucial for the tourism industry in Turkey, as they assist hotels, tour operators, and local authorities in planning capacity, resources, and marketing strategies.
Having a clear expectation regarding visitor numbers makes it possible to adjust everything from flight schedules and hotel staffing to the range of activities and facilities available in the region.
The stated figures indicate a stable, albeit marginally reduced, flow of tourists from Russia, which serves as an important signal for the economic development of Antalya. Source: Turizmguncel
Source: Turizmguncel
